* . *
  • About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact
Monday, July 28, 2025
Earth-News
  • Home
  • Business
  • Entertainment
    Top 5 entertainment news: Sandeep Reddy Vanga regrets trimming Animal’s runtime by 7-8 minutes, Akshay Ku – Times of India

    Top 5 Entertainment Highlights: Sandeep Reddy Vanga Reveals Why He Trimmed Animal’s Runtime by 7-8 Minutes, Plus Akshay Ku Updates

    Cote de Pablo reveals how Michael Weatherly used his soap opera roots to put her at ease in “NCIS” love scene – yahoo.com

    Cote de Pablo Reveals How Michael Weatherly’s Soap Opera Background Made Their “NCIS” Love Scene Easier

    City of Pelham announces entertainment district plans for former Oak Mountain Amphitheatre site – WVTM

    Pelham Unveils Exciting New Entertainment District Plans for Former Oak Mountain Amphitheatre Site

    Black Box Players presents ‘The Three Musketeers’ – CBS 19 News

    Experience the Adventure: Black Box Players Bring ‘The Three Musketeers’ to Life!

    AP Entertainment SummaryBrief at 1:51 p.m. EDT – Channel 3000

    Entertainment Highlights: Key Updates You Can’t Miss

    ‘Devil Wears Prada 2’ casts Anne Hathaway’s love interest replacing Adrian Grenier’s Nate – Entertainment Weekly

    Devil Wears Prada 2′ Casts New Love Interest for Anne Hathaway, Replacing Adrian Grenier’s Nate

  • General
  • Health
  • News

    Cracking the Code: Why China’s Economic Challenges Aren’t Shaking Markets, Unlike America’s” – Bloomberg

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Trending Tags

    • Trump Inauguration
    • United Stated
    • White House
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
  • Science
  • Sports
  • Technology
    AI’s race in the dark with China – Axios

    The High-Stakes AI Race: Innovation and Competition in the Shadows

    Eagle Unveils Revolutionary X-Ray Technology at Pack Expo

    Validea’s Top Information Technology Stocks Based On Peter Lynch – 7/25/2025 – Nasdaq

    Validea’s Top Information Technology Stocks Based On Peter Lynch – 7/25/2025 – Nasdaq

    WhoFi: New surveillance technology can track people by how they disrupt Wi-Fi signals – Tech Xplore

    WhoFi: New surveillance technology can track people by how they disrupt Wi-Fi signals – Tech Xplore

    Google Cloud Announced as a Key Technology Partner for Odoo Connect 2025 in San Francisco – GlobeNewswire

    Google Cloud Announced as a Key Technology Partner for Odoo Connect 2025 in San Francisco – GlobeNewswire

    Behind the Screens: The Impact of Technology on Real Estate – TRREB

    Behind the Screens: How Technology is Transforming the Future of Real Estate

    Trending Tags

    • Nintendo Switch
    • CES 2017
    • Playstation 4 Pro
    • Mark Zuckerberg
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • Business
  • Entertainment
    Top 5 entertainment news: Sandeep Reddy Vanga regrets trimming Animal’s runtime by 7-8 minutes, Akshay Ku – Times of India

    Top 5 Entertainment Highlights: Sandeep Reddy Vanga Reveals Why He Trimmed Animal’s Runtime by 7-8 Minutes, Plus Akshay Ku Updates

    Cote de Pablo reveals how Michael Weatherly used his soap opera roots to put her at ease in “NCIS” love scene – yahoo.com

    Cote de Pablo Reveals How Michael Weatherly’s Soap Opera Background Made Their “NCIS” Love Scene Easier

    City of Pelham announces entertainment district plans for former Oak Mountain Amphitheatre site – WVTM

    Pelham Unveils Exciting New Entertainment District Plans for Former Oak Mountain Amphitheatre Site

    Black Box Players presents ‘The Three Musketeers’ – CBS 19 News

    Experience the Adventure: Black Box Players Bring ‘The Three Musketeers’ to Life!

    AP Entertainment SummaryBrief at 1:51 p.m. EDT – Channel 3000

    Entertainment Highlights: Key Updates You Can’t Miss

    ‘Devil Wears Prada 2’ casts Anne Hathaway’s love interest replacing Adrian Grenier’s Nate – Entertainment Weekly

    Devil Wears Prada 2′ Casts New Love Interest for Anne Hathaway, Replacing Adrian Grenier’s Nate

  • General
  • Health
  • News

    Cracking the Code: Why China’s Economic Challenges Aren’t Shaking Markets, Unlike America’s” – Bloomberg

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Trending Tags

    • Trump Inauguration
    • United Stated
    • White House
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
  • Science
  • Sports
  • Technology
    AI’s race in the dark with China – Axios

    The High-Stakes AI Race: Innovation and Competition in the Shadows

    Eagle Unveils Revolutionary X-Ray Technology at Pack Expo

    Validea’s Top Information Technology Stocks Based On Peter Lynch – 7/25/2025 – Nasdaq

    Validea’s Top Information Technology Stocks Based On Peter Lynch – 7/25/2025 – Nasdaq

    WhoFi: New surveillance technology can track people by how they disrupt Wi-Fi signals – Tech Xplore

    WhoFi: New surveillance technology can track people by how they disrupt Wi-Fi signals – Tech Xplore

    Google Cloud Announced as a Key Technology Partner for Odoo Connect 2025 in San Francisco – GlobeNewswire

    Google Cloud Announced as a Key Technology Partner for Odoo Connect 2025 in San Francisco – GlobeNewswire

    Behind the Screens: The Impact of Technology on Real Estate – TRREB

    Behind the Screens: How Technology is Transforming the Future of Real Estate

    Trending Tags

    • Nintendo Switch
    • CES 2017
    • Playstation 4 Pro
    • Mark Zuckerberg
No Result
View All Result
Earth-News
No Result
View All Result
Home Business

Analysis-US elections toss twist at markets fixated on Fed, economy

January 12, 2024
in Business
Analysis-US elections toss twist at markets fixated on Fed, economy
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Investing.com - Financial Markets Worldwide

Please try another search

Published Jan 12, 2024 01:03AM ET

Analysis-US elections toss twist at markets fixated on Fed, economy
© Reuters. One World Trader Center stands in Lower Manhattan as people watch aboard the Staten Island Ferry in New York City, U.S., December 4, 2023. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo

By Lewis Krauskopf

NEW YORK (Reuters) – A U.S. presidential race that is about to heat up could add a fresh wrinkle to markets in 2024, as investors gauge the potential for post-election changes in fiscal spending, taxation and other policy areas.

For months, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy trajectory and the U.S. economy have consumed investors, with expectations for 2024 rate cuts by the central bank fueling an explosive stocks rally in late 2023 and putting the within striking distance of a fresh record high.

The importance of those factors for asset prices is unlikely to wane anytime soon. But with the Iowa caucus set to kick off the state-by-state nominating process on Monday, a potentially close race and sharp partisan divisions in the electorate could add unexpected twists to the path for stocks this year.

“The election is introducing an extra layer of uncertainty,” said Irene Tunkel, chief U.S. equity strategist at BCA Research.

This year’s election is pointing toward a rematch between President Joe Biden, a Democrat, and former President Donald Trump, who holds a commanding lead over Republican rivals.

However, any narrowing of the Republican field following the Iowa caucus “could also make for a more competitive race” for the party’s nomination, Goldman Sachs economics analysts said in a Monday note. Trump’s lead in the upcoming New Hampshire primary would shrink to around 3% if the field narrowed to him and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, they said.

“Uncertainty tends to rise at the start of presidential election years, and that pattern looks particularly likely to hold in 2024,” the bank’s analysts said.

WHAT HISTORY SHOWS

A president seeking re-election, as Biden is this year, has in the past been concurrent with above-average performance for U.S. stocks. Since World War II, the S&P 500 has gained all 14 times in the year that a president has sought re-election, regardless of who wins, with an average total return of 15.5%, said CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. That compared to the index’s average annual return of 12.8% in that period.

Overall since 1928, the S&P 500 has gained about 7.5% on average in presidential election years, according to RBC Capital Markets.

Seasonal patterns in election years, however, suggest the ride is not always smooth. The first three months or so of an election year tend to be choppy for stocks, with the S&P 500 generally flat, said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services, who reviewed data going back to 1950. The three months ahead of Election Day in early November also tend to be volatile, Lerner said.

The seasonal pattern of election years “does provide another reason to be on guard for an early year pullback,” Lori Calvasina, RBC’s head of U.S. equity strategy, said in a note on Monday.

This year, tax and spending policies are among those investors will be watching. During his presidency, Trump enacted tax cuts set to expire in 2025, with Republicans expected to try to prevent that from happening.

Democrats and Biden, who enacted a wide-ranging law that seeks to promote clean energy and lower prescription drug costs, would be expected to pursue tax hikes on corporations and the wealthy while spending to expand the social safety net, such as childcare investments, according to Oxford Economics.

An economic downturn this year would likely increase market focus on the elections, said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.

“If the economy does start to decelerate and we potentially see a recession, then the fiscal response and who becomes the political leaders will become much more important to markets,” Miskin said.

Certain areas of the stock market could become particularly volatile as the race advances and policy proposals are fleshed out, including any related to healthcare costs, defense spending or energy regulations.

In the 2020 election, for example, solar stocks rose as Biden’s election prospects improved. Trump’s victory in 2016 sparked a so-called reflation trade that boosted a broad range of sectors on expectations of looser fiscal policy.

Some investors doubt the election will have a lasting effect on markets. One factor potentially moderating the impact is expectation of a split Congress following the election that limits more radical policy changes. While elections can bring some volatility, “the over-arching theme that matters the most is where are we in the economic cycle,” said Jack Janasiewicz, portfolio manager at Natixis Investment Managers Solutions.

>>> Read full article>>>
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source : Investing.com – https://www.investing.com/news/economy/analysisus-elections-toss-twist-at-markets-fixated-on-fed-economy-3273018

Tags: Analysis-USbusinesselections
Previous Post

‘Govt keen to see more activity in mining sector’

Next Post

China central bank set to cut key rate, boost liquidity Monday to aid economy

AI’s race in the dark with China – Axios

The High-Stakes AI Race: Innovation and Competition in the Shadows

July 27, 2025
LeBron James’ future with Lakers beyond 2025-26 certain to generate speculation leading up to training camp – Yahoo Sports

LeBron James’ Lakers Future Beyond 2025-26 Sparks Intense Speculation Ahead of Training Camp

July 27, 2025
Energy landscapes direct the movement preferences of elephants – besjournals

Energy landscapes direct the movement preferences of elephants – besjournals

July 27, 2025
At United Nations Summer Program, Computer Science Student Examines AI Ethics – Georgetown University

At United Nations Summer Program, Computer Science Student Examines AI Ethics – Georgetown University

July 27, 2025
Return of wolves to Yellowstone has led to a surge in aspen trees unseen for 80 years – Live Science

Wolves’ Return to Yellowstone Sparks Unprecedented Aspen Tree Boom After 80 Years

July 27, 2025
‘Bluey’ Is Growing Up: BBC Plots All-Ages Expansion For The Franchise As A Full-Fledged Lifestyle Brand – Cartoon Brew

‘Bluey’ Is Growing Up: BBC Plots All-Ages Expansion For The Franchise As A Full-Fledged Lifestyle Brand – Cartoon Brew

July 27, 2025
Katie Ledecky, Summer McIntosh and a race for the ages at World Swimming Championships – NBC Sports

Katie Ledecky and Summer McIntosh Ignite an Epic Showdown at the World Swimming Championships

July 27, 2025
5 ways Trump has shaped the economy in 6 months – The Hill

5 Game-Changing Ways Trump Transformed the Economy in Just 6 Months

July 27, 2025
Flutter Entertainment Announces Pricing Of $1.272 Bln Of Additional Senior Secured Notes Due 2031 – Nasdaq

Flutter Entertainment Raises $1.27 Billion in Major Senior Secured Notes Offering Due 2031

July 27, 2025
KFF Health Tracking Poll: Public Views on Recent Tax and Budget Legislation – KFF

How the Public Really Feels About the Latest Tax and Budget Changes

July 27, 2025

Categories

Archives

July 2025
MTWTFSS
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
28293031 
« Jun    
Earth-News.info

The Earth News is an independent English-language daily published Website from all around the World News

Browse by Category

  • Business (20,132)
  • Ecology (741)
  • Economy (765)
  • Entertainment (21,645)
  • General (16,135)
  • Health (9,803)
  • Lifestyle (773)
  • News (22,149)
  • People (767)
  • Politics (774)
  • Science (15,980)
  • Sports (21,263)
  • Technology (15,747)
  • World (748)

Recent News

AI’s race in the dark with China – Axios

The High-Stakes AI Race: Innovation and Competition in the Shadows

July 27, 2025
LeBron James’ future with Lakers beyond 2025-26 certain to generate speculation leading up to training camp – Yahoo Sports

LeBron James’ Lakers Future Beyond 2025-26 Sparks Intense Speculation Ahead of Training Camp

July 27, 2025
  • About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact

© 2023 earth-news.info

No Result
View All Result

© 2023 earth-news.info

No Result
View All Result

© 2023 earth-news.info

Go to mobile version