November 19, 2023 by Saeed Ul Hassan
The curious case of Ethereum (ETH) has come under scrutiny, prompting a closer look at its price action and the prevailing sentiment in the market. As of the time of writing, ETH has experienced a +62% increase in value in 2023, but how does it compare to other major cryptocurrencies?
As per a Twitter thread by an analyst, for context, SOL has surged by +480%, BTC by +121%, MSTR by +242%, AVAX by +90%, and NVDA by +250%. Ethereum, despite being a leading cryptocurrency, has been labeled as an underperformer, raising questions about its position in the current market landscape.
At time of writing, ETH sits +62% up in 2023.
For comparison:
SOL +480%
BTC +121%
MSTR +242%
AVAX +90%
NVDA +250%
It’s been an incredibly poor performer and would be more suited to the bottom of a list of investable markets right now.
— Cold Blooded Shiller (@ColdBloodShill) November 18, 2023
Despite occasional glimmers of hope, particularly when ETHBTC shows signs of a potential turnaround, each moment has proven to be a local top. It starkly contrasts the traditional narrative where Ethereum’s rally would signal the beginning of “altseason.”
Currently, Bitcoin ($BTC) is exhibiting strength, leaving Ethereum in the shadows. According to the analyst, the relationship between ETH and BTC has shifted from “when ETHBTC starts to rally, it’s altszn baby!” to a more concerning “Omg, ETHBTC is rallying, time to sell.” The road ahead appears bleak with Bitcoin’s dominance and Ethereum’s weakness, along with other altcoins outperforming ETH.
However, amidst the prevailing negativity, there remains a glimmer of hope. A week ago, the consensus was a rally for ETH to $2200, with widespread optimism and excitement in the crypto community. Expectations were high, fueled by a show of strength after a market-wide sell-off. However, the anticipated rally failed to materialize, leading to a significant shift in sentiment.
But it didn’t materialise. Days went past, ETH struggled, eventually tapping out and falling down back below $2,000 where we find ourselves today.
And with it, the psychology also turned.
— Cold Blooded Shiller (@ColdBloodShill) November 18, 2023
Analyzing the Opportunity: Is Now the Time to Buy Ethereum?
Per the thread, the psychology surrounding Ethereum underwent a rapid transformation from confidence in higher targets to widespread acceptance of underperformance, sparking discussions about the end of the cycle for ETH. This psychological shift, coupled with technical analysis, presents a unique opportunity for traders.
Despite its recent struggles, Ethereum’s higher timeframe (HTF) chart indicates that it is not a lost cause. It is holding its weekly breakout level at $1930 and is correcting on the daily timeframe. The market, however, seems to treat it as a dead coin.
The analyst suggests that considering the significant change in psychology and the technical support at $1930 now might be the time to buy ETH. The risk-reward ratio appears favorable, with the weekly level serving as crucial support, offering a strategic stop-loss position.
While acknowledging that holding ETH this year has been a challenging experience compared to other cryptocurrencies, the analyst emphasizes the potential for a turnaround. Decision time is approaching, with BTC showing signs of weakening.
However, the question remains: will ETH capitalize on a potential BTC breakdown or face further challenges? Time will tell if Ethereum can defy the odds and regain its position as a formidable player in the crypto space.
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