![Jenny Han Dropped a Major ‘The Summer I Turned Pretty’ Easter Egg Revealing [SPOILER] – yahoo.com](https://earth-news.info/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/319001-jenny-han-dropped-a-major-the-summer-i-turned-pretty-easter-egg-revealing-spoiler-yahoo-com-360x180.jpg)
EUR/USD finds interim support near 1.0660 while uncertainty ahead of US core PCE inflation keeps the outlook vulnerable.
Investors see the Fed reducing interest rates twice this year.
The Euro will dance to the tunes of the preliminary June HICP data for France, Italy, and Spain on Friday.
EUR/USD rebounds sharply on Thursday’s New York session after declining to a seven-week low near 1.0665 the day before. The major currency pair finds support as the US Dollar (USD) corrects amid uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for May, which will be published on Friday. However, the near-term demand remains vulnerable amid fears of widening policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major peers, faces pressure in an attempt to move above the crucial resistance of 106.00.
Investors will pay close attention to the US core PCE inflation data, which will provide cues about when and how much the Fed will reduce interest rates this year. The US PCE report is expected to show that core price pressures grew at a slower pace of 0.1% month-on-month in May against 0.2% in April. Annually, the underlying inflation is projected to decelerate to 2.6% from 2.8% in April.
Softer-than-expected inflation figures would boost expectations of early Fed rate cuts, which would be unfavorable for the US Dollar. On the contrary, hot numbers will diminish Fed rate-cut prospects.
Currently, financial markets expect that the Fed will start reducing interest rates at the September meeting and deliver subsequent rate cuts in November or December.
On the economic front, US Durable Goods Orders for May unexpectedly rose by 0.1%. Economists forecasted them to have declined by 0.1% after an expansion of 0.6%, downwardly revised from 0.7%. Fresh orders for Durable Goods are a leading indicator of core Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Meager growth in New Orders for Durable Goods doesn’t pose significant upside risks to price pressures.
Daily digest market movers: EUR/USD awaits Eurozone HICP data
EUR/USD continues to face selling pressure near the round-level resistance of 1.0700. The Euro’s near-term outlook is uncertain ahead of the Eurozone’s election outcome and growing speculation that the ECB will deliver back-to-back rate cuts.
Investors remain cautious over the outcome of the French election amid speculation that the new government would make significant fiscal policy shifts, which would widen the financial crisis. The uncertainty over the French elections was triggered after French President Emmanuel Macron called for a snap election after his party suffered defeat in preliminary results from Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally (RN).
On the monetary policy front, ECB policymakers refrained from committing to any pre-defined interest rate path after the central bank commenced the rate-cutting cycle in its policy meeting in early June amid concerns over wage inflation. However, higher interest rates weigh heavily on overall demand, which impacts activities in manufacturing as well as the service sector.
Going forward, preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for June will be under the spotlight next week, as it will provide major cues about the interest rate outlook. Currently, investors expect that the ECB will deliver one more rate cut this year.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD recaptures 1.0700
EUR/USD trades inside Wednesday’s range as investors sidelined ahead of the US core PCE inflation reading. The downward-sloping border of the Symmetrical Triangle pattern formation on a daily timeframe remains a major barrier for the Euro bulls. A fresh downside would appear if the pair delivers a decisive breakdown of the above-mentioned chart pattern.
The shared currency pair establishes below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 1.0780, suggesting that the overall trend is bearish.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near 40.00. A bearish momentum would trigger if the oscillator slips below this level.
Economic Indicator
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)
The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) measures changes in the prices of a representative basket of goods and services in the European Monetary Union. The HICP, released by Eurostat on a monthly basis, is harmonized because the same methodology is used across all member states and their contribution is weighted. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is seen as bearish.
Read more.
Next release: Tue Jul 02, 2024 09:00 (Prel)
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: –
Previous: 2.6%
Source: Eurostat
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
>>> Read full article>>>
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source : FXStreet – https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-usd-finds-temporary-cushion-near-10660-downside-remains-unabated-202406270926
