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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Rachel McAdams as Barbara Simon, Abby Ryder Fortson as Margaret Simon, and Benny Safdie as Herb Simon in Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. Photo Credit: Dana Hawley
Dana Hawley/Lionsgate
Weekly Commentary (Updated Nov. 6, 2023): Few artisans command as much love and adoration as the legendary costume designer Ann Roth. At 92-years-old, if nominated, she would be the oldest person ever recognized for a competitive award.
With a career spanning over six decades, the two time Oscar winner of “The English Patient” (1997) and “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (2020) has not only dressed characters but also woven the fabric of cinematic narratives with her exquisite designs, and she does it once again in Kelly Fremon Craig’s “Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret.” Paired with her brief but effective scene in “Barbie,” when the titular character meets an elderly woman on a bench, its another example of the legend being impactful in every facet of our cinematic culture.
What sets Roth’s work in “Margaret” apart from her competitors, is her ability to delve deep and understand the psyche of characters. She doesn’t merely create costumes, she crafts visual identities that mirror the souls of the individuals she dresses as seen in the choices for Rachel McAdams and Kathy Bates.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.
The submission deadline for general categories is Nov. 18, 2023. Preliminary shortlist voting will begin on Dec. 18, with the results announced on Dec. 21. The voting period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominations announcement on Jan. 23.
The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10.
***The list below is not final and will be updated throughout the awards season.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
“Wonka” (Warner Bros.) – Lindy Hemming
“Maestro” (Netflix) – Mark Bridges
“The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) – Francine Jamison-Tanchuck
“Ferrari” (Neon) – Massimo Cantini Parrini
“Priscilla” (A24) – Stacey Battat
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
“Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures) – David Crossman, Janty Yates
“The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Colleen Atwood
“The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio) – Nu Yên-Khê Tran
“The Zone of Interest” (A24) – Malgorzata Karpiuk
“Golda” (Bleecker Street) – Sinead Kidao
“Asteroid City” (Focus Features) – Milena Canonero
“Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.) – Mayes Rubeo
“Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves” (Paramount Pictures) – Amanda Monk
“Chevalier” (Searchlight Pictures) – Oliver Garcia
“Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Eimer Ní Mhaoldomhnaigh
Also In Contention
“The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” (Lionsgate) – Trish Summerville
“Rustin” (Netflix) – Toni-Leslie James
“Air” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Charlese Anoinette Jones
“Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios) – María Estela Fernández
“The Marvels” (Marvel Studios) – Lindsay Pugh
“Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Joanna Johnston
“The Holdovers” (Focus Features) – Wendy Chuck
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios) – Judianna Makovsky
“The Boys in the Boat” (MGM) – Jenny Eagan
“BlackBerry” (IFC Films) – Hanna Puley
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**
“A Haunting in Venice” (20th Century Studios) – Sammy Sheldon
“The Bikeriders” (20th Century Studios) – Erin Benach
“The Creator” (20th Century Studios) – Jeremy Hanna
“Beau is Afraid” (A24) – Alice Babidge
“The Iron Claw” (A24) – Jennifer Starzyk
“Priscilla” (A24) – Stacey Battat
“The Zone of Interest” (A24) – Malgorzata Karpiuk
“Air” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Charlese Anoinette Jones
“The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Mirren Gordon-Crozier
“Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios) – María Estela Fernández
“Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Sophie Canale
“Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films) – Triona Lillis
“Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) – Jacqueline West
“Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures) – David Crossman, Janty Yates
“Golda” (Bleecker Street) – Sinead Kidao
“Asteroid City” (Focus Features) – Milena Canonero
“The Holdovers” (Focus Features) – Wendy Chuck
“BlackBerry” (IFC Films) – Hanna Puley
“The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio) – Nu Yên-Khê Tran
“Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures) – Elaine Montalvo
“Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret” (Lionsgate) – Ann Roth
“The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes” (Lionsgate) – Trish Summerville
“Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios) – Judianna Makovsky
“The Marvels” (Marvel Studios) – Lindsay Pugh
“The Boys in the Boat” (MGM) – Jenny Eagan
“Ferrari” (Neon) – Massimo Cantini Parrini
“Origin” (Neon) – Dominique Dawson
“May December” (Netflix) – April Napier
“Maestro” (Netflix) – Mark Bridges
“Rustin” (Netflix) – Toni-Leslie James
“Society of the Snow” (Netflix) – Julio Suarez
“Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Amon Thieves” (Paramount Pictures) – Amanda Monk
“Chevalier” (Searchlight Pictures) – Oliver Garcia
“Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) – Holly Waddington
“Gran Turismo” (Sony Pictures) – Terry Anderson
“Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Eimer Ní Mhaoldomhnaigh
“Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) – Ellen Mirojnick
“She Came to Me” (Vertical Entertainment)
“Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom” (Warner Bros.)
“Barbie” (Warner Bros.) – Jacqueline Durran
“Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.) – Mayes Rubeo
“The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) – Francine Jamison-Tanchuck
“Wonka” (Warner Bros.) – Lindy Hemming
“Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Joanna Johnston
“The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Colleen Atwood
2022 category winner: “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” (Marvel Studios) — Ruth E. Carter
** indicates an unconfirmed release date in 2023 or could campaign in the lead or supporting categories. All release dates are subject to change.
Oscars Predictions Categories
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.
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