Oklahoma and Missouri’s Week 13 showdown is shaping up to be a nerve-wracking battle as both squads vie for crucial momentum down the stretch. Our latest analysis reveals that despite Oklahoma entering the game as the favorite, Missouri’s underdog status is supported by compelling data points. Statistical models highlight Missouri’s efficiency in key offensive categories and a defense that has consistently bent but not broken late in games this season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma’s turnovers and inconsistent third-down conversions flag potential vulnerabilities that could tip the scales in the Tigers’ favor.

Below is the key betting line breakdown, showcasing where the value resides according to our proven predictive model:

Betting Line Oklahoma Missouri Model Edge
Point Spread -6.5 +6.5 Pick: Missouri +6.5
Moneyline -240 +190 Pick: Missouri ML
Over/Under 54.5 Points @ Model suggests under for defensive struggles
  • Missouri’s late-game efficiency remains a major factor, showing consistency in closing out close contests.
  • Oklahoma’s turnover margin (-7 on the season) poses significant risks when handicapping the favorite.
  • Model confidence rating: 78% favor the underdog Missouri with the spread, backed by recent trends and player matchups.