By the time the Seattle Seahawks and Detroit Lions game kicked off Sunday, the spread was down to 4.5 points in favor of Detroit. That was a far cry from the six points it was at last Tuesday, and more in line with what I said it should be (-3).
As it turns out, it was still too large. The Seahawks eventually beat Detroit outright in a game that went to overtime.
That result was the perfect example of what I’m looking for when assessing these early-week lines. I wasn’t nearly as sharp with my other two disagreeable lines of Week 2, but hopefully we can find more success this time around. These are my most disagreeable Week 3 lines, with odds from BetMGM.
Sure, Cleveland’s defense is still really good — and they’re at home for a game against Ryan Tannehill. But with the way this offense has looked behind Deshaun Watson at quarterback, I’m having hard time seeing how they’ll do much scoring without Nick Chubb, who has been ruled out for the season. Especially against Tennessee’s defense.
And for what it’s worth, Tannehill looked a lot better in the Titans’ win over the Chargers last week. Not only do I think this spread is too large, I think the Titans should be favored outright.
It’s been very apparent through two weeks of the season that Houston’s rebuild is both making progress but will also take a lot more time before we start seeing real gains. The offense is averaging fewer than 15 points through two games and that’s only slightly less than what Jacksonville is allowing this year.
Without much contribution from Houston’s offense, I don’t see this game coming close to the 44-point total. The Jaguars are favored by almost 10 points, and once they get up double digits, there won’t be much pressure for them to continue pushing the ball up the field.
I mean, y’all seen what happened to the Broncos against the Washington Commanders. This team couldn’t beat the COMMANDERS after taking a 21-3 lead at home. What in the world are they going to do with the Dolphins?
I think Miami is one of the best teams in the NFL, on both sides of the ball. And especially at home against a team traveling east, the Dolphins should be favored by a lot more. They’ll win this game by at least two touchdowns.
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