* . *
  • About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact
Friday, October 24, 2025
Earth-News
  • Home
  • Business
  • Entertainment
    Johnny Depp Set To Finally Make His Big Hollywood Comeback After Amber Heard Controversy – Yahoo

    Johnny Depp Set for a Triumphant Hollywood Comeback Following Amber Heard Controversy

    ‘Chainsaw Man — The Movie: Reze Arc’ Review: Hit Manga Gets an Ultra-Violent, Surprisingly Emotional Big-Screen Adaptation – Yahoo

    Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc Review: A Brutal and Unexpectedly Emotional Big-Screen Adaptation

    Reba McEntire Details Personal Relationship With Late Stepson Brandon Blackstock – KNDU

    Reba McEntire Shares Emotional Tribute to Her Late Stepson Brandon Blackstock

    Sacramento city leaders approve adding 2 entertainment zones in midtown – CBS News

    Sacramento City Leaders Approve Two Thrilling New Entertainment Zones in Midtown

    AMC brings first new Dolby Experience to Gwinnett since 2017 – Wyoming News Now

    AMC Launches First New Dolby Experience in Gwinnett Since 2017

    Hetzel Design: blending architecture and entertainment – Blooloop

    Hetzel Design: Where Architecture and Entertainment Unite in Perfect Harmony

  • General
  • Health
  • News

    Cracking the Code: Why China’s Economic Challenges Aren’t Shaking Markets, Unlike America’s” – Bloomberg

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Trending Tags

    • Trump Inauguration
    • United Stated
    • White House
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
  • Science
  • Sports
  • Technology
    New technology for grading and packing dates – FreshPlaza

    Revolutionary Technology Transforms Date Grading and Packing Process

    Project underway to upgrade technology on 911 towers in Kanawha County – WCHS

    Kanawha County Launches Major Upgrade to 911 Tower Technology

    Next steps: Technology opens new options for greater mobility – Missouri Independent

    Next Steps: How Technology is Opening Exciting New Doors to Greater Mobility

    Rydberg Technologies Inc. Announces Launch of Rydberg Photonics in Berlin – The Quantum Insider

    Rydberg Technologies Launches Exciting New Photonics Division in Berlin

    A look into new technology at Columbia University that could help prevent a dangerous pregnancy complication – ABC7 New York

    A look into new technology at Columbia University that could help prevent a dangerous pregnancy complication – ABC7 New York

    Office Technology: Dealers’ Managed IT Revenue up Nearly 30% – The Cannata Report –

    Office Technology: Dealers’ Managed IT Revenue up Nearly 30% – The Cannata Report –

    Trending Tags

    • Nintendo Switch
    • CES 2017
    • Playstation 4 Pro
    • Mark Zuckerberg
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • Business
  • Entertainment
    Johnny Depp Set To Finally Make His Big Hollywood Comeback After Amber Heard Controversy – Yahoo

    Johnny Depp Set for a Triumphant Hollywood Comeback Following Amber Heard Controversy

    ‘Chainsaw Man — The Movie: Reze Arc’ Review: Hit Manga Gets an Ultra-Violent, Surprisingly Emotional Big-Screen Adaptation – Yahoo

    Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc Review: A Brutal and Unexpectedly Emotional Big-Screen Adaptation

    Reba McEntire Details Personal Relationship With Late Stepson Brandon Blackstock – KNDU

    Reba McEntire Shares Emotional Tribute to Her Late Stepson Brandon Blackstock

    Sacramento city leaders approve adding 2 entertainment zones in midtown – CBS News

    Sacramento City Leaders Approve Two Thrilling New Entertainment Zones in Midtown

    AMC brings first new Dolby Experience to Gwinnett since 2017 – Wyoming News Now

    AMC Launches First New Dolby Experience in Gwinnett Since 2017

    Hetzel Design: blending architecture and entertainment – Blooloop

    Hetzel Design: Where Architecture and Entertainment Unite in Perfect Harmony

  • General
  • Health
  • News

    Cracking the Code: Why China’s Economic Challenges Aren’t Shaking Markets, Unlike America’s” – Bloomberg

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Trending Tags

    • Trump Inauguration
    • United Stated
    • White House
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
  • Science
  • Sports
  • Technology
    New technology for grading and packing dates – FreshPlaza

    Revolutionary Technology Transforms Date Grading and Packing Process

    Project underway to upgrade technology on 911 towers in Kanawha County – WCHS

    Kanawha County Launches Major Upgrade to 911 Tower Technology

    Next steps: Technology opens new options for greater mobility – Missouri Independent

    Next Steps: How Technology is Opening Exciting New Doors to Greater Mobility

    Rydberg Technologies Inc. Announces Launch of Rydberg Photonics in Berlin – The Quantum Insider

    Rydberg Technologies Launches Exciting New Photonics Division in Berlin

    A look into new technology at Columbia University that could help prevent a dangerous pregnancy complication – ABC7 New York

    A look into new technology at Columbia University that could help prevent a dangerous pregnancy complication – ABC7 New York

    Office Technology: Dealers’ Managed IT Revenue up Nearly 30% – The Cannata Report –

    Office Technology: Dealers’ Managed IT Revenue up Nearly 30% – The Cannata Report –

    Trending Tags

    • Nintendo Switch
    • CES 2017
    • Playstation 4 Pro
    • Mark Zuckerberg
No Result
View All Result
Earth-News
No Result
View All Result
Home General

Would Artificial Wombs Solve the Depopulation Crisis?

March 25, 2024
in General
Would Artificial Wombs Solve the Depopulation Crisis?
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Nextbigfuture reader, Scott Baker, has gathered excellent information about the state of artificial womb development. Scott did this in response to my articles describing the massive global depopulation crisis.

Scott has found videos and information about were tests over one year ago of biobags to help premature sheep. These are early forms of devices which could become artificial wombs. We are at the animal testing stage now. They should be able to help extremely premature babies that are too under developed incubators.

Here is why, I do not think artificial wombs can solve the depopulation crisis:
1. We do not know we can bridge the gap between 3-4 week embryos in test tube babies through to premature babies at 24 weeks or 20 weeks. It is not just the life support. There are hormones interaction from the mother or biological womb and the baby.

2. There are costs even if it works. An artificial womb is basically an in vitro fertilization and a 270 day incubator procedure. Below, I show how very optimistic assumption get us to a cost of about $300,000 per pregnancy.

3. This procedure might need to scale to 100 million babies per year in order to make up for the global shortfall of babies. This would be $30 trillion per year at scale.

4. Gestational Surrogacy has existed for decades. There are up to 100,000 per year surrogacy births globally but the total numbers might be about 20,000 per year or less. It is a fraction of the IVF numbers as Gestational Surrogacy is IVF and also having another women carry and deliver the baby The surrogate women gets about $15,000 to 150,000. Surrogacy is expected to grow to perhaps 1 million birth per year by 2032 a $129 billion global industry.

5. Gestational Surrogacy has been proven to work for tens of thousands of babies. There are no technical, scientific and medical questions that another women’s womb can deliver an IVF baby. It is far cheaper than neonatal care. This is a capability and option that be scaled up by low birth countries (Japan, South Korea, China, Italy, Spain etc… today). Programs for egg harvesting from young women for more successful future IVF, and state supported IVF and state supported surrogacy could increase births by 25-50%.

Scott projects that in 5-10 years, they will be in limited commercial use of artificial wombs in countries with low fertility. However, IVF and surrogacy does everything that a perfected commercial artificial womb does.

He points out there are only about 20 weeks in human development that needs to be filled in with artificial wombs. We can already grow an embryo in a Petri dish for up to a month and incubators work more-or-less well from 6.5 months forward; the incubators could be replaced by more reliable artificial wombs if they became available at the earlier stages.

Scott will have to explain to me why we should wait for this technology versus scaling up IVF and surrogacy and just increasing the financial incentives to couples.

IVF is Used for 2% of US Births

IVF (Invitro fertilization) is the test tube baby process. It was first used successfully in 1978. After 46 years there have been about 12 million IVF births and 2% of US birth use this process every year. This is about 75,000 out of 3.6 million births. The world is nearing 1 million IVF births per year.

There are 70 million couples who have fertility problems. There are ten times as many couples who want babies but are having trouble than the number of IVF births. The world is not meeting the demand for assisted pregnancies with the technological product and services (IVF and egg harvesting, IVF and surrogacy) that can solve that problem.

IVF costs $10k-30k. It can be cheaper in China.

A standard incubator for a newborn intensive care unit can cost between $1,500 and $35,000.

In the United States, the average cost of a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) stay is around $3,000 per day, but can range from $3,000 to $20,000 per day.

Cost of Artificial Wombs and Scaling

The artificial womb would have more cost than a standard incubator. Let’s simplify and assume 9 months of neonatal care at even less cost than intensive care of $1000 per day. This could be like $10k for the IVF to start and then $1K per day for the womb. This would be $270k for the procedure once it is a relatively mature process.

If there are humanoid robots, the cost might be reduced to $30-50k.

If we only have half of the number of needed babies to sustain the global population of 8 billion in 2060 or so. We are at 75 million per year instead of 150 million.

This would mean scaling up IVF by 5000%, mastering the development of the new artificial womb technology, having the artificial womb work not just on premature animals but on humans, extend from 20-28 week operation to 0-36 weeks, mass produce to about 100 million units.

This is also mean going to scale with limited testing and observation of the development of people who went through the process. What the long term development of the artificial womb children vs natural womb children. The artificial womb mothers would not activate lactation. There are mothers now who only choose formula. Baby formula for a year is $760-3000.

IF there is no massive cost reduction then the $100,000-200,000 cost per pregnancy is comparable to the levels of increased financial incentives that I estimate are needed to encourage women, surrogates and families to have the needed children.

Scott thinks that the artificial womb will begin impacting fertility rates in 30 years. IVF got to 2% fertility improvement after 45 years.

This means some minimal viable products around 2060 and possibly some impact in 2100.

China’s population could drop from 1.4 billion to 1 billion by 2050-2060. Japan’s population will have dropped below 100 million by 2050. China’s population could drop to 400 million by 2100.

IF the solution is to scale $270k per pregnancy solutions in 2100, then financially we should straight up offer that cash now to encourage couples to have more natural babies. Also, Surrogacy at scale can be performed at $15k-150k.

Antiaging Mainly Matters if the Aging Reversal Maintains Longer Fertility and the Fertility is Used

If Antiaging only extends lives to 200 years long but the duration of fertility is not impacted then it does not address the core problem of depopulation.

Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.

Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.

A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts.  He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.

>>> Read full article>>>
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source : Next Big Future – https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2024/03/would-artificial-wombs-solve-the-depopulation-crisis.html

Previous Post

The Best Dressed Stars of the Week Embraced Spring Silhouettes

Next Post

March Madness and Caitlin Clark have already given us some great memes

Inventing habitats – High Country News

Building Tomorrow’s Habitats: Breakthrough Innovations Transforming Our Future Environments

October 24, 2025

Enhancing Nucleic Acid Biosecurity to Counter Advanced Generative Protein Design Tools

October 24, 2025
Science Says Optimistic People Live Up to 12 Years Longer. Here’s How You Can Be More Positive, Hopeful, and Confident – Inc.com

Unlock a Longer Life: Discover How Cultivating Optimism Transforms Your Health and Happiness

October 24, 2025
Fall River Eats: Eskimo King closes for season; Table for Two special at Fall River Grill – Yahoo

Eskimo King Closes for the Season – Enjoy the Irresistible Table for Two Special at Fall River Grill!

October 24, 2025
New technology for grading and packing dates – FreshPlaza

Revolutionary Technology Transforms Date Grading and Packing Process

October 24, 2025
Your weekend plans: Satire, scares and sports – Axios

Get Ready for the Weekend: Satire, Spooks, and Sports Galore!

October 24, 2025
Dodgers’ Alex Vesia’s World Series availability unclear while dealing with ‘deeply personal family matter’ – CBS Sports

Dodgers’ Alex Vesia Faces Uncertainty Over World Series Availability Amid Personal Family Matter

October 24, 2025
Fewer pastors say economy is negatively impacting their churches in 2025: Lifeway Research – Christian Post

Growing Number of Pastors See Positive Economic Impact on Their Churches in 2025

October 24, 2025
Johnny Depp Set To Finally Make His Big Hollywood Comeback After Amber Heard Controversy – Yahoo

Johnny Depp Set for a Triumphant Hollywood Comeback Following Amber Heard Controversy

October 24, 2025
Duke professor Kyle Walsh to lead environmental institute of NIH after atypical selection process – The Duke Chronicle

Duke Professor Kyle Walsh Takes the Helm of NIH Environmental Institute After Unconventional Selection Process

October 24, 2025

Categories

Archives

October 2025
M T W T F S S
 12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
2728293031  
« Sep    
Earth-News.info

The Earth News is an independent English-language daily published Website from all around the World News

Browse by Category

  • Business (20,132)
  • Ecology (884)
  • Economy (905)
  • Entertainment (21,776)
  • General (17,779)
  • Health (9,946)
  • Lifestyle (918)
  • News (22,149)
  • People (906)
  • Politics (915)
  • Science (16,116)
  • Sports (21,405)
  • Technology (15,885)
  • World (888)

Recent News

Inventing habitats – High Country News

Building Tomorrow’s Habitats: Breakthrough Innovations Transforming Our Future Environments

October 24, 2025

Enhancing Nucleic Acid Biosecurity to Counter Advanced Generative Protein Design Tools

October 24, 2025
  • About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact

© 2023 earth-news.info

No Result
View All Result

© 2023 earth-news.info

No Result
View All Result

© 2023 earth-news.info

Go to mobile version