Survey on the use of clinical and mechanical prediction methods in clinical psychology. The psychological assessment of risk for crime and violence. Harris et al. Allison, P. Hedges, L. Clinical judgment and mechanical prediction. The Level of Service Inventory - Revised.
New York: Foundation Press. Lastly, a model that included all three risk instruments found significant incremental validity for each instrument with low RRASOR score predicting high rates of general recidivism. Forth, A.
Although no finding is ever definitive, the basic findings of the current study are sufficiently reliable to have implications for criminal justice policy. Other studies have found similar results. Figure 6 presents survival curves for sexual offenders based on the number of years offence-free in the community.
You may also estimate the recidivism probabilities of one offender over time. Thornton, D.
Seto found that routinely used scales i. As such, if the evaluation is primarily concerned with violent recidivism, we recommend scales designed for that purpose e. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 20 , Criminal Justice and Behavior, 29 , The Hanley and McNeil test of correlated ROC areas was used to test whether the risk instruments differed in their level of predictive accuracy.