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Russia’s Air Force is getting wrecked in the Ukraine War. China’s Air Force is mainly copies of the same Russian planes that are getting wrecked in the Ukraine.
The US military has no interest in telling everyone how pathetic the Russian and Chinese Air Force is. Why? The US military wants to justify getting more planes and more equipment. The collapse of the Soviet Union and now the failure of the Russian military in the Ukraine has exposed the planes and pilots of potential American opponents as garbage.
Russian and Chinese military engines only operate for 4000 hours or less before needing to be replaced while American fighter engines can last for 12000 hours of operation. This means they have fewer engine hours to support training pilots.
Russia’s Air Force
Su-57 10 [new stealth plane, but unused in Ukraine]
Mig-35 6 [new claimed gen 4.5, production 2018+,updated Mig-29]
Su-35 110
Su-34 149 [several shotdown in Ukraine]
Su-30 113 [several shotdown in Ukraine]
Su-27 101-359 [most built around 1990-2005]
Su-24 273 [production 1967-1993]
Mig-31 129 [1975-1994]
Mig-29 87-240 [1981-today]
The remaining engine life of the Soviet era planes will all get used up in another year or two of the Ukraine war. Russia will get left with 200-300 planes. The Su-27, Su-24, Mig-29 and Mig-31 will all get expended engines and it will not be worthwhile to re-engine them.
The J-16 is a Chinese fighter jet that is seen as a copy of the Russian Su-30.
The J-16 is a fourth-generation, tandem-seat, twinjet, multirole strike fighter. It was developed from the Shenyang J-11, which was derived from the Sukhoi Su-27. The J-16 is operated by the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF).
The J-16 has advanced avionics, a long range, and a large payload. It is equipped with stronger ground and sea attack armaments.
The Su-34 is a Russian frontline bomber. It is similar to the F-15E and F-111.
Chinese copies of Russian planes tend to have better electronics but engines that are inferior to the Russian engines.
The Shenyang J-11 is a copy of the Russian Su-27.
The J-6, a clone of the supersonic MiG-19, which has a jet intake in the nose. Though China built thousands of J-6s, all but a few have been retired. However, about 150 of a pointy-nosed ground-attack version, the Nanchang Q-5, remain in service, upgraded to employ precision-guided munitions.
Roughly 33 percent of the PLAAF and PLANAF’s combat aircraft are old second-generation fighters of limited combat value against peer opponents, save perhaps in swarming attacks. Another 28 percent include strategic bombers and more capable but dated third-generation designs. Finally, 38 percent are fourth-generation fighters that can theoretically hold their own against peers like the F-15 and F-16.
The J-11 and J-16 are copies of Russian planes, that are getting shotdown by ground to air missiles in Ukraine.
The J-10 is a copy of the Israeli Lavi from Israeli designs. The Lavi was based on the design of the French Dassault Mirage. The J-10s haver had several deadly accidents possibly related to difficulties in the fly-by-wire system.
The 350 J-20s are supposed to be China’s big new stealth plane. However, they are getting re-engined with new and unproven domestic WS-15. It usually takes a few years for a new plane and a plane with a new engine to get operating reliably. It will be years before the J-20s get reasonable usability. The USA has had lower mission readiness rates of 60% with the planes (F-22 and F-35) that China tried to copy with the J-20. China has not figured out how to make great stealth fighter planes. China has not been producing successful commercial planes and commercial engines.
It is also planes and pilots and planes used in large scale air operations. This is all unproven for China.
US pilots have actual combat experience or are trained by pilots with actual combat experience.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
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