2023 MLB Home Run Derby prediction, odds, bracket picks, date, time, favorites: MLB expert fades Pete Alonso

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be back for the 2023 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby, set for Monday at 8 p.m. ET in Seattle, and his last performance was epic, but it was Pete Alonso who won that 2019 Home Run Derby in Cleveland. Guerrero set the record for home runs in a single Home Run Derby with 91 in 2019, but 11 of those came in an epic tiebreaker with Joc Peterson in the semifinals. Alonso edged the Toronto Blue Jays star 23-22 in the final for the first of consecutive Home Run Derby titles. Alonso is the favorite in a 2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket that also features Guerrero and 2022 runner-up Julio Rodriguez.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Alonso as the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300) in its latest 2023 MLB Home Run Derby odds. Robert is the top seed in the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket and the +500 third choice, also trailing Toronto’s Vladimir Guerrero Jr. at +450. Rodriguez, who will compete in his home stadium, is priced at +550, followed by the Rangers’ Adolis Garcia (+600). The other participants are the Dodgers’ Mookie Betts (+900), Tampa Bay’s Randy Arozarena (+900) and the Orioles’ Adley Rutschman (+1600). Before you lock in your 2023 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby picks, you need to see what SportsLine baseball expert Larry Harstein has to say, considering his mastery of MLB picks.

Hartstein is a former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, and he combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. Larry is coming off three straight profitable MLB seasons on SportsLine (plus $1,582 overall) while winning an additional $2,057 on MLB props and team totals given out on “The Early Edge.” He is 59-40 on his past 99 MLB picks (plus $1,203). Anybody following him has seen huge returns.

Now, he has studied the latest 2023 Home Run Derby odds and locked in his picks. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

2023 Home Run Derby expert preview

For Monday night’s big event, Hartstein is fading Pete Alonso, even though he has continued to perform for the struggling Mets. The expert knows the two-time champ is a deserving favorite, but he isn’t the top seed in the 2023 MLB Home Run Derby bracket. That honor went to Robert based on his performance since June 15. The White Sox star has 10 homers since then, while Alonso has four. Alonso hit 74 home runs in the 2021 Derby, but almost half (35) came in the first round. He wasn’t nearly as impressive in 2022, when he hit 43 over the first two rounds and lost to Rodriguez in the semifinals.

The Mets star has been back for more than a month from a wrist injury that cost him eight games this season. Still, a competition like this can take a toll, and Hartstein has concerns. The “Polar Bear” also could be focused on the Mets’ struggles and might ease off a little bit to avoid another injury. “I’m shying away due to the wrist injury Alonso dealt with in the first half,” the expert told SportsLine. See his other 2023 Home Run Derby picks at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 Home Run Derby picks

Hartstein has analyzed the 2023 Home Run Derby bracket and come up with his confident pick for a winner. This slugger is “hitting the ball harder than anyone else in this year’s Home Run Derby field,” Hartstein told SportsLine, and the expert knows he has the most value. You can only get this selection at SportsLine.

So, who wins the MLB Home Run Derby 2023? And which player has a massive hitting advantage? Visit SportsLine to see Larry Hartstein’s 2023 Home Run Derby prediction, all from the expert who has crushed his MLB picks over the past three seasons, and find out.

2023 MLB Home Run Derby odds, participants

See 2023 MLB Home Run Derby picks here

Pete Alonso +300
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +450
Luis Robert +500
Julio Rodriguez +550
Adolis Garcia +600
Mookie Betts +900
Randy Arozarena +900
Adley Rutschman +1600