* . *
  • About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact
Friday, October 3, 2025
Earth-News
  • Home
  • Business
  • Entertainment
    Books about the arts and some haunts for a Denton October – Denton Record-Chronicle

    Uncover Artistic Treasures and Spooky Adventures to Experience in Denton This October

    Taylor Swift Releases New Album The Life of a Showgirl : Listen and Read the Full Credits – Yahoo

    Taylor Swift Releases New Album The Life of a Showgirl : Listen and Read the Full Credits – Yahoo

    Toni Braxton Is Turning Her Biggest Hits Into Lifetime Movies – Yahoo

    Toni Braxton Is Turning Her Biggest Hits Into Lifetime Movies – Yahoo

    Major airline to offer new in-flight entertainment options for passengers – PennLive.com

    Major airline to offer new in-flight entertainment options for passengers – PennLive.com

    Penn State-Themed Restaurant and Entertainment Spot Happy Valley Live Set to Open in State College – StateCollege.com

    Penn State-Themed Restaurant and Entertainment Spot Happy Valley Live Set to Open in State College – StateCollege.com

    The Police Made Chart History With This 1979 Hit Nearly 50 Years Ago – Yahoo

    How The Police Changed Music Forever with Their Iconic 1979 Hit Nearly 50 Years Ago

  • General
  • Health
  • News

    Cracking the Code: Why China’s Economic Challenges Aren’t Shaking Markets, Unlike America’s” – Bloomberg

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Trending Tags

    • Trump Inauguration
    • United Stated
    • White House
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
  • Science
  • Sports
  • Technology
    Technology Is Becoming More Important Than Humans In CX – No Jitter

    Technology Is Becoming More Important Than Humans In CX – No Jitter

    A Tech Expo Shows What China Can Make, but Not Who’ll Buy It All – The New York Times

    Inside China’s Tech Expo: Cutting-Edge Innovations Face Uncertain Demand

    Steampunk Metal Oval Technology Sense Sunglasses Personality Handmade Chain Multicolor Sunglasses UV400 – The San Joaquin Valley Sun

    Steampunk Metal Oval Sunglasses with Handmade Multicolor Chain – Bold UV400 Protection and Unique Style

    STELLA Automotive AI Appoints Fred Seidelman as Chief Technology Officer – Yahoo Finance

    STELLA Automotive AI Appoints Fred Seidelman as New Chief Technology Officer

    Saving Energy and Money with Smart Technology – Terms of Service with Clare Duffy – Podcast on CNN Podcasts – CNN

    Saving Energy and Money with Smart Technology – Terms of Service with Clare Duffy – Podcast on CNN Podcasts – CNN

    Four Strategic Signals Technology Leaders Are Tuning In To – SPONSOR CONTENT FROM ARM – Harvard Business Review

    Four Essential Strategic Signals Every Technology Leader Should Watch

    Trending Tags

    • Nintendo Switch
    • CES 2017
    • Playstation 4 Pro
    • Mark Zuckerberg
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • Business
  • Entertainment
    Books about the arts and some haunts for a Denton October – Denton Record-Chronicle

    Uncover Artistic Treasures and Spooky Adventures to Experience in Denton This October

    Taylor Swift Releases New Album The Life of a Showgirl : Listen and Read the Full Credits – Yahoo

    Taylor Swift Releases New Album The Life of a Showgirl : Listen and Read the Full Credits – Yahoo

    Toni Braxton Is Turning Her Biggest Hits Into Lifetime Movies – Yahoo

    Toni Braxton Is Turning Her Biggest Hits Into Lifetime Movies – Yahoo

    Major airline to offer new in-flight entertainment options for passengers – PennLive.com

    Major airline to offer new in-flight entertainment options for passengers – PennLive.com

    Penn State-Themed Restaurant and Entertainment Spot Happy Valley Live Set to Open in State College – StateCollege.com

    Penn State-Themed Restaurant and Entertainment Spot Happy Valley Live Set to Open in State College – StateCollege.com

    The Police Made Chart History With This 1979 Hit Nearly 50 Years Ago – Yahoo

    How The Police Changed Music Forever with Their Iconic 1979 Hit Nearly 50 Years Ago

  • General
  • Health
  • News

    Cracking the Code: Why China’s Economic Challenges Aren’t Shaking Markets, Unlike America’s” – Bloomberg

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Trump’s Narrow Window to Spread the Truth About Harris

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    Israel-Gaza war live updates: Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh assassinated in Iran, group says

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    PAP Boss to Niger Delta Youths, Stay Away from the Protest

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Court Restricts Protests In Lagos To Freedom, Peace Park

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Fans React to Jazz Jennings’ Inspiring Weight Loss Journey

    Trending Tags

    • Trump Inauguration
    • United Stated
    • White House
    • Market Stories
    • Election Results
  • Science
  • Sports
  • Technology
    Technology Is Becoming More Important Than Humans In CX – No Jitter

    Technology Is Becoming More Important Than Humans In CX – No Jitter

    A Tech Expo Shows What China Can Make, but Not Who’ll Buy It All – The New York Times

    Inside China’s Tech Expo: Cutting-Edge Innovations Face Uncertain Demand

    Steampunk Metal Oval Technology Sense Sunglasses Personality Handmade Chain Multicolor Sunglasses UV400 – The San Joaquin Valley Sun

    Steampunk Metal Oval Sunglasses with Handmade Multicolor Chain – Bold UV400 Protection and Unique Style

    STELLA Automotive AI Appoints Fred Seidelman as Chief Technology Officer – Yahoo Finance

    STELLA Automotive AI Appoints Fred Seidelman as New Chief Technology Officer

    Saving Energy and Money with Smart Technology – Terms of Service with Clare Duffy – Podcast on CNN Podcasts – CNN

    Saving Energy and Money with Smart Technology – Terms of Service with Clare Duffy – Podcast on CNN Podcasts – CNN

    Four Strategic Signals Technology Leaders Are Tuning In To – SPONSOR CONTENT FROM ARM – Harvard Business Review

    Four Essential Strategic Signals Every Technology Leader Should Watch

    Trending Tags

    • Nintendo Switch
    • CES 2017
    • Playstation 4 Pro
    • Mark Zuckerberg
No Result
View All Result
Earth-News
No Result
View All Result
Home Technology

The AI ‘Age of Uncertainty’

September 25, 2023
in Technology
The AI ‘Age of Uncertainty’
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

September 24, 2023 11:40 AM

Two very colorful people's heads that look like art and/or artificial intelligence joined at the back of the head.

Image Credit: Image created with Midjourney

Head over to our on-demand library to view sessions from VB Transform 2023. Register Here

Historically, periods of rapid advancement and change have ushered in times of great uncertainty. Harvard economist John Kenneth Galbraith wrote about such a time in his 1977 book The Age of Uncertainty, in which he discussed the successes of market economics but also predicted a period of instability, inefficiency and social inequity. 

Today, as we navigate the transformative waves of AI, we find ourselves on the cusp of a new era marked by similar uncertainties. However, this time the driving force isn’t merely economics — it’s the relentless march of technology, particularly the rise and evolution of AI.

Already, the impact of AI is becoming more discernable in daily life. From AI-generated songs, to haikus written in the style of Shakespeare, to self-driving vehicles, to chatbots that can imitate lost loved ones and AI assistants that help us with work, the technology is beginning to become pervasive.

AI will soon become much more prevalent with the approaching AI tsunami. Wharton School professor Ethan Mollick recently wrote about the results of an experiment on the future of professional work. The experiment centered around two groups of consultants working for the Boston Consultant Group. Each group was given various common tasks. One group was able to use currently available AI to augment their efforts while the other was not.

Event

VB Transform 2023 On-Demand

Did you miss a session from VB Transform 2023? Register to access the on-demand library for all of our featured sessions.

Register Now

Mollick reported: “Consultants using AI finished 12.2% more tasks on average, completed tasks 25.1% more quickly, and produced 40% higher quality results than those without.” 

Of course, it is possible that problems inherent in large language models (LLM), such as confabulation and bias, may cause this wave to simply dissipate — although this is now appearing unlikely. While the technology is already demonstrating its disruptive potential, it will take several years until we are able to experience the power of the tsunami. Here is a look at what is coming.

The next wave of AI models

The next generation of LLMs will be more sophisticated and more generalized than the current crop that includes GPT-4 (OpenAI), PaLM 2 (Google), LLaMA (Meta) and Claude 2 (Anthropic). It’s likely that there will also be a new and possibly very capable model entrant from xAI, Elon Musk’s new start-up. Capabilities like reasoning, common sense and judgment remain big challenges for these models. We can expect to see progress in each of these areas, however.

Among the next generation, The Wall Street Journal reported that Meta is working on a LLM that will be at least as capable as GPT-4. According to the report, this is expected sometime in 2024. It is reasonable to expect that OpenAI is also working on their next generation, although they have been quiet in discussing plans. That likely will not last long.

Based on currently available information, the most substantive new model is “Gemini” from the combined Google Brain and DeepMind AI team. Gemini could far surpass anything available today. Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai announced last May that training of the model was already underway.

Pichai said in a blog at that time: “While still early, we’re already seeing impressive multimodal capabilities not seen in prior models.”

Multimodal means it can process and understand multiple types of data inputs (text and images), serving as the foundation for both text-based and image-based applications. The reference to capabilities not seen in prior models means that there could be greater emergent or unanticipated qualities and behaviors. An emergent example from the current generation is the ability to create computer code, as this was not an expected capability.

A Swiss Army Army knife of AI models?

There have been Reports that Google has given a small group of companies access to an early version of Gemini. One of those might be SemiAnalysis, a well-regarded semiconductor research company.  According to a new post from the company, Gemini could be 5 to 20X more advanced than GPT-4 models now on the market.

Gemini’s design will likely be based on DeepMind’s Gato disclosed in 2022. A VentureBeat article last year reported: “The deep learning [Gato] transformer model is described as a ‘generalist agent’ and purports to perform 604 distinct and mostly mundane tasks with varying modalities, observations and action specifications. It has been referred to as the Swiss Army Knife of AI models. It is clearly much more general than other AI systems developed thus far and in that regard appears to be a step towards AGI [artificial general intelligence].”

Towards artificial general intelligence (AGI)

Already, GPT-4 is thought to show “sparks of AGI” according to Microsoft, able to “solve novel and difficult tasks that span mathematics, coding, vision, medicine, law, psychology and more, without needing any special prompting.” By leapfrogging all existing models, Gemini could indeed be a large step towards AGI. The speculation is that Gemini will be released in several levels of model capabilities, possibly over some months and perhaps beginning before the end of this year.

As impressive as Gemini is likely to be, even larger and more sophisticated models are expected. Mustafa Suleyman, the CEO and cofounder of Inflection AI and a cofounder of DeepMind, predicted during an Economist conversation that “in the next five years, the frontier model companies — those of us at the very cutting edge who are training the very largest AI models — are going to train models that are over a thousand times larger than what you see today in GPT-4.”

The potential applications and influence these models could have on our daily lives could be unparalleled, with the potential for great benefits as well as enhanced dangers. Vanity Fair quotes David Chalmers, a professor of philosophy and neural science at NYU: “The upsides for this are enormous, maybe these systems find cures for diseases and solutions to problems like poverty and climate change, and those are enormous upsides.” The article also discusses the potential risks, citing expert predictions of horrific outcomes including the possibility of human extinction, with probability estimates ranging from 1% to 50%.

The end of human-dominated history?

In the Economist conversation, historian Yuval Noah Harari said these coming advances in AI development will not mark the end of history, but “the end of human-dominated history. History will continue, with somebody else in control. I’m thinking of it as more an alien invasion.”

To which Suleyman countered: AI tools will not have agency, meaning they cannot do anything beyond that which humans empower them to do. Harari then responded that this future AI could be “more intelligent than us. How do you prevent something more intelligent than you from developing agency?” With agency, an AI could pursue actions that may not be aligned with human needs and values.

These next-generation models represent the next step towards AGI and a future where AI becomes even more capable, integrated and indispensable for modern life. While there is ample reason to be hopeful, these expected new developments add even more impetus to calls for oversight and regulation.

The regulatory conundrum

Even the leaders of companies who make frontier models agree that regulation is necessary. After many of appeared jointly before the U.S. Senate on September 13th, Fortune reported that they “loosely endorsed the idea of government regulations” and that “there is little consensus on what regulation would look like.”

The session was organized by Senator Chuck Schumer, who afterward discussed the challenges faced in developing appropriate regulations. He pointed out that AI is technically complicated, keeps changing and “has such a wide, broad effect across the whole world.”

It might not even be realistically possible to regulate AI. For one thing, much of the technology has been released as open-source software, meaning it is effectively out in the wild for anyone to use. This alone could make many regulatory efforts problematic.

Precaution logical and sensical

Some see public statements by AI leaders in support of regulation theatrics. MarketWatch reported the views of Tom Siebel, a long-time Silicon Valley executive and current CEO for C3 AI: “AI execs are playing rope-a-dope with lawmakers, asking them to please regulate us. But there is not enough money and intellectual capital to ensure millions of algorithms are safe. They know it is impossible.”

It may indeed be impossible, but we must make the attempt. As Suleyman noted in his Economist conversation: “This is the moment when we have to adopt a precautionary principle, not through any fear monger but just as a logical, sensical way to proceed.”

As AI rapidly progresses from narrow capabilities towards AGI, the promise is vast but the perils profound. This age of uncertainty demands our deepest conscience, wisdom and caution to develop these AI technologies for the benefit of humanity while averting extreme potential dangers.

Gary Grossman is senior VP of the technology practice at Edelman and global lead of the Edelman AI Center of Excellence.

DataDecisionMakers

Welcome to the VentureBeat community!

DataDecisionMakers is where experts, including the technical people doing data work, can share data-related insights and innovation.

If you want to read about cutting-edge ideas and up-to-date information, best practices, and the future of data and data tech, join us at DataDecisionMakers.

You might even consider contributing an article of your own!

Read More From DataDecisionMakers

>>> Read full article>>>
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source : VentureBeat – https://venturebeat.com/ai/the-ai-age-of-uncertainty/

Tags: ‘Agetechnologyuncertainty
Previous Post

Microsoft’s Copilot Can Change Your Laptop Experience

Next Post

Mastercard and Mercedes-Benz let you pay at the gas pump via fingerprint

CFOs confident in their own companies but not in the economy – CFO.com

CFOs Show Strong Confidence in Their Companies Despite Economic Uncertainty

October 3, 2025
Books about the arts and some haunts for a Denton October – Denton Record-Chronicle

Uncover Artistic Treasures and Spooky Adventures to Experience in Denton This October

October 3, 2025
WFSD Announces Northwell Mental Health Partnership – William Floyd School District

WFSD Announces Northwell Mental Health Partnership – William Floyd School District

October 3, 2025
The current state of shutdown politics – CNN

Inside the High-Stakes Battle Over Government Shutdowns

October 3, 2025
Bhagwat rings ‘warning bell’ on Himalayas, ecology threats – Times of India

Bhagwat rings ‘warning bell’ on Himalayas, ecology threats – Times of India

October 3, 2025
117-Year-Old Woman’s Diet Could Help Us All Live Longer – ScienceAlert

117-Year-Old Woman’s Diet Could Help Us All Live Longer – ScienceAlert

October 3, 2025
The Best Time to Eat Breakfast, Backed by Science—and Why It Matters More Than You Think – Real Simple

The Ideal Time to Eat Breakfast: Surprising Science-Backed Reasons Why It Matters

October 3, 2025
Lifestyle and stress erode heart health advantage in long-term US immigrants – News-Medical

Lifestyle and stress erode heart health advantage in long-term US immigrants – News-Medical

October 3, 2025
Artificial Intelligence Technology Solutions Deploys RIO Security Solutions – TipRanks

Artificial Intelligence Technology Solutions Unveils Game-Changing RIO Security Innovations

October 3, 2025
Top-12 NFL running games: Which teams are helping our RBs score fantasy football points this season? – Yahoo Sports

Top-12 NFL running games: Which teams are helping our RBs score fantasy football points this season? – Yahoo Sports

October 3, 2025

Categories

Archives

October 2025
M T W T F S S
 12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
2728293031  
« Sep    
Earth-News.info

The Earth News is an independent English-language daily published Website from all around the World News

Browse by Category

  • Business (20,132)
  • Ecology (849)
  • Economy (870)
  • Entertainment (21,744)
  • General (17,390)
  • Health (9,913)
  • Lifestyle (882)
  • News (22,149)
  • People (871)
  • Politics (881)
  • Science (16,080)
  • Sports (21,370)
  • Technology (15,852)
  • World (852)

Recent News

CFOs confident in their own companies but not in the economy – CFO.com

CFOs Show Strong Confidence in Their Companies Despite Economic Uncertainty

October 3, 2025
Books about the arts and some haunts for a Denton October – Denton Record-Chronicle

Uncover Artistic Treasures and Spooky Adventures to Experience in Denton This October

October 3, 2025
  • About
  • Advertise
  • Privacy & Policy
  • Contact

© 2023 earth-news.info

No Result
View All Result

© 2023 earth-news.info

No Result
View All Result

© 2023 earth-news.info

Go to mobile version