Who is top of the Premier League xG table for 2023/24?

Goals are great, but what’s even better than actual goals? Expected goals. And, according to xG, Man Utd are rubbish…

Here’s the full xG table…

1) Manchester City – 80 points
Actual points: 70 (-10 points)
Burnley W 1.9-0.3
Newcastle United W 1.0-0.3
Sheffield United W 3.5-0.7
Fulham W 2.2-1.4
West Ham W 3.6-0.9
Nottingham Forest W 1.3-1.0
Wolves W 0.9-0.4
Arsenal W 0.5-0.4
Brighton D 0.8-0.8
Manchester United W 4.0-0.9
Bournemouth W 1.9-0.9
Chelsea D 2.9-2.9
Liverpool W 1.38-0.55
Tottenham W 2.6-0.5
Aston Villa L 0.8-2.0
Luton W 1.6-0.3
Crystal Palace L 1.6-1.8
Everton W 2.60-0.98
Sheffield United W 2.2-0.3
Newcastle United W 3.0-1.3
Burnley W 1.7-1.4
Brentford W 2.1-1
Everton W 1.6-0.3
Chelsea W 2.6-1.4
Brentford W 2.3-0.4
Bournemouth W 1.6-0.9
Man Utd W 3.3-0.3
Liverpool L 1.6-2.5
Arsenal W 1.0-0.7
Aston Villa W 3.4-0.8
Crystal Palace W 1.0-1.1

2) Arsenal – 75 points
Actual points: 71 (-4 points)
Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.2
Crystal Palace W 2.0-1.0
Fulham W 3.2-0.6
Manchester United W 2.3-0.9
Everton W 1.0-0.3
Tottenham W 1.8-1.4
Bournemouth W 3.4-0.6
Man City L 0.4-0.5
Chelsea L 1.0-1.3
Sheffield United W 2.8-0.0
Newcastle L 0.6-0.9
Burnley W 1.9-0.4
Brentford W 1.52-1.11
Wolves W 2.8-0.7
Luton W 2.4-0.5
Aston Villa W 1.4-0.6
Brighton W 2.2-0.7
Liverpool L 0.80-0.95
West Ham W 2.6-1.5
Fulham W 1.6-1.2
Crystal Palace W 3.07-0.33
Nottingham Forest W 1.2-0.4
Liverpool W 3.5-0.4
West Ham W 3.6-0.2
Burnley W 2.3-0.3
Newcastle W 2.4-0.2
Sheffield United W 2.2-0.2
Brentford W 1.3-1.0
Man City L 0.7-1.0
Luton W 0.7-0.3
Brighton W 3.4-0.5

3) Liverpool – 70 points
Actual points: 71 (+1 point)
Chelsea L 1.3-1.4
Bournemouth W 3.0-1.3
Newcastle United L 0.9-2.0
Aston Villa W 2.5-0.7
Wolves W 2.5-0.6
West Ham W 3.0-1.1
Tottenham L 1.3-2.2
Brighton D 2.3-2.3
Everton W 2.2-0.1
Nottingham Forest W 3.2-0.4
Luton W 2.6-0.8
Brentford L 1.4-1.5
Man City L 0.55-1.38
Fulham W 2.1-1.2
Sheffield United W 1.8-0.7
Crystal Palace L 1.2-1.7
Manchester United W 2.3-0.6
Arsenal W 0.95-0.80
Burnley W 1.69-0.76
Newcastle United W 7.1-0.6
Bournemouth W 1.6-1.4
Chelsea W 2.9-0.6
Arsenal L 0.4-3.5
Burnley W 2.8-1.3
Brentford W 2.8-1.6
Luton W 3.3-1.0
Nottingham Forest W 2.0-1.0
Manchester City W 2.5-1.6
Brighton W 2.8-1.4
Sheff Utd W 1.8-0.6
Liverpool W 3.6-0.7

4) Chelsea – 60 points
Actual points: 44 (-16 points)
Liverpool W 1.4-1.3
West Ham W 2.5-1.8
Luton W 2.2-0.4
Nottingham Forest W 2.3-0.8
Bournemouth W 1.8-1.0
Aston Villa W 1.3-1.0
Fulham W 1.7-1.1
Burnley W 1.9-0.7
Arsenal W 1.3-1.0
Brentford L 1.9-2.2
Tottenham W 4.0-1.9
Manchester City D 2.9-2.9
Newcastle L 0.58-2.28
Brighton W 1.9-1.0
Man Utd L 1.4-4.0
Everton L 0.9-1.2
Sheffield United W 2.8-0.4
Wolves W 2.06-1.27
Crystal Palace W 2.57-1.12
Luton L 1.5-2.3
Fulham W 2.2-0.8
Liverpool L 0.6-2.9
Wolves D 1.9-1.9
Crystal Palace W 1.6-0.6
Manchester City L 1.4-2.6
Brentford D 1.8-1.8
Newcastle United W 1.7-0.8
Burnley W 4.2-1.6
Man Utd W 3.0-1.5
Sheff Utd L 0.4-1.4

5) Everton – 56 points
Actual points before deduction: 35 (-21 points)
Fulham W 2.7-1.5
Aston Villa L 0.6-2.9
Wolves W 1.3-1.1
Sheffield United W 2.5-1.2
Arsenal L 0.3-1.0
Brentford W 1.9-1.0
Luton Town W 2.9-0.9
Bournemouth W 2.4-0.7
Liverpool L 0.1-2.2
West Ham W 0.8-0.7
Brighton W 0.7-0.5
Crystal Palace L 1.6-2.0
Manchester United W 2.4-2.2
Nottingham Forest D 0.7-0.7
Newcastle W 3.3-1.5
Chelsea W 1.2-0.9
Burnley W 1.3-0.7
Tottenham W 1.95-1.34
Man City L 0.98-2.60
Wolves L 0.4-1.9
Aston Villa D 1.1-1.1
Fulham W 1.9-1.7
Tottenham W 2.6-1.0
Man City L 0.3-1.6
Crystal Palace W 1.6-0.6
Brighton L 0.3-1.4
West Ham W 2.7-1.9
Man Utd L 1.6-2.7
Bournemouth L 1.0-1.3
Newcastle United L 1.4-2.5
Burnley W 0.9-0.5

6) Aston Villa – 55 points
Actual points: 60 (+5 points)
Newcastle United L 1.8-3.3
Everton W 2.9-0.6
Burnley W 2.5-0.7
Liverpool L 0.7-2.5
Crystal Palace W 3.0-1.2
Chelsea L 1.0-1.3
Brighton L 1.6-1.7
Wolves W 1.7-1.6
West Ham W 1.9-1.1
Luton W 2.3-0.5
Nottingham Forest W 0.3-1.4
Fulham W 3.0-0.8
Tottenham L 1.7-2.3
Bournemouth L 0.7-2.0
Manchester City W 2.0-0.8
Arsenal L 0.6-1.4
Brentford W 1.4-0.5
Sheffield United W 0.9-0.6
Man Utd W 1.68-1.04
Burnley W 3.2-1.2
Everton D 1.1-1.1
Newcastle United L 1.4-2.5
Sheffield United W 2.2-1.4
Man Utd W 2.4-1.9
Fulham D 1.5-1.5
Nottingham Forest W 3.6-2.6
Luton W 1.9-1.8
Tottenham L 0.9-1.6
West Ham L 0.6-2.0
Wolves L 1.0-1.5
Man City L 0.8-1.4
Brentford D 1.5-1.5

7) Tottenham – 51 points
Actual points: 60 (+9 points)
Brentford L 1.3-2.2
Manchester United L 1.7-2.1
Bournemouth W 2.1-0.7
Burnley W 2.2-1.3
Sheffield United W 2.1-0.7
Arsenal L 1.4-1.8
Liverpool W 2.2-1.3
Luton W 1.9-0.8
Fulham W 1.5-1.0
Crystal Palace W 1.1-0.6
Chelsea L 0.9-4.0
Wolves L 0.7-2.1
Aston Villa W 2.3-1.7
Man City L 0.5-2.6
West Ham L 1.8-2.2
Newcastle United W 3.9-1.7
Nottingham Forest W 1.5-1.3
Everton L 1.34-1.95
Brighton L 2.5-3.4
Bournemouth W 2.3-1.7
Man Utd W 1.3-0.8
Brentford W 2.7-1.7
Everton L 1.0-2.6
Brighton W 1.6-1.2
Wolves L 1.6-1.8
Crystal Palace W 1.9-0.3
Aston Villa W 1.6-0.9
Fulham L 2.4-2.7
Luton W 2.9-0.5
West Ham L 1.0-1.2
Nottingham Forest L 1.4-1.6

8) Brighton – 51 points
Actual points: 43 (-8 points)
Luton W 4.0-1.5
Wolves W 2.2-2.1
West Ham L 1.5-3.0
Newcastle United W 1.3-1.2
Manchester United W 1.7-1.0
Bournemouth W 1.9-1.1
Aston Villa W 1.7-1.6
Liverpool D 2.3-2.3
Man City D 0.8-0.8
Fulham W 1.4-0.7
Everton L 0.5-0.7
Sheffield United W 1.5-0.7
Nottingham Forest L 1.46-1.69
Chelsea L 1.0-1.9
Brentford W 1.5-1.3
Burnley W 2.6-0.6
Arsenal L 0.7-2.2
Palace L 1.2-1.3
Tottenham W 3.4-2.5
West Ham W 2.4-0.7
Wolves L 1.2-1.4
Luton Town L 0.9-2.8
Crystal Palace W 1.4-0.3
Tottenham L 1.2-1.6
Sheffield United W 2.9-0.6
Everton W 1.4-0.3
Fulham D 1.3-1.3
Nottingham Forest L 0.5-0.7
Liverpool L 0.4-2.8
Brentford W 1.1-0.6
Arsenal L 0.5-3.4

9) Newcastle – 49 points
Actual points: 47 (-2 points)
Aston Villa W 3.3-1.8
Manchester City L 0.3-1.0
Liverpool W 2.0-0.9
Brighton L 1.2-1.3
Brentford W 1.4-0.5
Sheffield United W 3.9-0.9
Burnley W 3.2-0.6
West Ham W 2.0-1.2
Crystal Palace W 2.4-1.2
Wolves W 2.2-0.9
Arsenal W 0.9-0.6
Bournemouth L 0.5-2.6
Chelsea W 2.28-0.58
Man Utd W 2.4-0.5
Everton L 1.5 – 3.3
Tottenham L 1.7-3.9
Fulham W 3.6-0.3
Luton L 1.68-1.88
Nottingham Forest L 2.4-3.5
Liverpool L 0.6-7.1
Manchester City L 1.3-3.0
Aston Villa W 2.5-1.4
Luton L 2.3-2.4
Nottingham Forest L 0.5-1.5
Bournemouth D 2.2-2.2
Arsenal L 0.2-2.4
Wolves W 2.1-0.8
Chelsea L 0.8-1.7
West Ham W 4.1-1.4
Everton W 2.5-1.4
Fulham L 1.0-1.2

10) Bournemouth – 46 points
Actual points: 41 (-5 points)
West Ham W 1.3-1.1
Liverpool L 1.3-3.0
Tottenham L 0.7-2.1
Brentford L 2.1-2.9
Chelsea L 1.0-1.8
Brighton L 1.1-1.9
Arsenal L 0.6-3.4
Everton L 0.7-2.4
Wolves L 0.6-2.4
Burnley W 1.1-0.8
Manchester City L 0.9-1.9
Newcastle United W 2.6-0.5
Sheffield United W 2.71-0.81
Aston Villa W 2.0-0.7
Crystal Palace W 1.6-0.8
Manchester United W 1.5-1.1
Nottingham Forest W 1.57-0.75
Fulham W 1.78-0.27
Tottenham L 1.7-2.3
Liverpool L 1.4-1.6
West Ham L 1.2-1.4
Nottingham Forest W 1.0-0.6
Fulham W 1.8-1.6
Newcastle United D 2.2-2.2
Manchester City L 0.9-1.6
Burnley L 1.1-1.5
Sheffield United W 3.3-1.2
Luton Town W 2.3-2.0
Everton W 1.3-1.0
Crystal Palace W 1.2-0.1
Luton Town L 0.5-1.4

11) Nottingham Forest – 47 points
Actual points before deduction: 29 (-18 points)
Arsenal W 1.2-0.8
Sheffield United W 1.4-0.5
Manchester United L 1.2-2.8
Chelsea L 0.8-2.3
Burnley W 0.7-0.5
Manchester City L 1.0-1.3
Brentford L 0.5-1.6
Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8
Luton W 2.9-1.7
Liverpool L 0.4-3.2
Aston Villa L 0.4-1.3
West Ham W 1.6-1.5
Brighton W 1.69-1.46
Everton D 0.7-0.7
Fulham L 0.3-2.5
Wolves W 1.3-1.2
Tottenham L 1.3-1.5
Bournemouth L 0.75-1.57
Newcastle W 3.25-2.46
Man Utd L 0.7-0.8
Brentford D 1.2-1.2
Arsenal L 0.4-1.2
Bournemouth L 0.6-1.0
Newcastle United W 1.5-0.5
West Ham United W 2.8-0.5
Aston Villa L 2.6-3.6
Liverpool L 1.0-2.0
Brighton W 0.7-0.5
Luton Town W 1.7-0.6
Crystal Palace L 0.9-1.2
Fulham W 1.5-1.2
Tottenham W 1.6-1.4

12) West Ham – 40 points
Actual points: 48 (+8 points)
Bournemouth L 1.1-1.3
Chelsea L 1.8-2.5
Brighton W 3.0-1.5
Luton L 1.0-1.4
Manchester City L 0.9-3.6
Liverpool L 1.1-3.0
Sheffield United W 2.1-1.1
Newcastle L 1.2-2.0
Aston Villa L 1.1-1.9
Everton L 0.7-0.8
Brentford W 1.8-1.3
Nottingham Forest L 1.5-1.6
Burnley L 1.03-1.27
Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.8
Spurs W 2.2-1.8
Fulham L 1.4-2.3
Wolves W 1.1-0.7
Man Utd W 0.91-1.36
Arsenal L 1.5-2.6
Brighton L 0.7-2.4
Sheffield United D 2.2-2.2
Bournemouth W 1.4-1.2
Manchester United W 1.6-0.8
Arsenal L 0.2-3.6
Nottingham Forest L 0.5-2.8
Brentford W 1.5-1.1
Everton L 1.9-2.7
Burnley W 2.7-0.6
Aston Villa W 2.0-0.6
Newcastle United L 1.4-4.1
Tottenham W 1.2-1.0
Wolves L 1.2-1.5

13) Brentford – 36 points
Actual points: 32 (-4 points)
Tottenham W 2.2-1.3
Fulham W 3.7-0.5
Crystal Palace W 1.0-0.8
Bournemouth W 2.9-2.1
Newcastle United L 0.5-1.4
Everton L 1.0-1.9
Nottingham Forest W 1.6-0.5
Man Utd L 0.9-1.4
Burnley W 3.1-1.1
Chelsea W 2.2-1.9
West Ham L 1.3-1.8
Liverpool W 1.5-1.4
Arsenal L 1.11-1.52
Luton W 3.1-0.2
Brighton L 1.3-1.5
Sheffield United L 0.6-0.8
Aston Villa L 0.5-1.4
Wolves L 2.23-2.39
Crystal Palace W 1.4-1.0
Nottingham Forest D 1.2-1.2
Tottenham L 1.7-2.7
Manchester City L 1-2.1
Wolves W 1.9-1.0
Liverpool L 1.6-2.8
Man City L 0.4-2.3
West Ham L 1.1-1.5
Chelsea D 1.8-1.8
Arsenal L 1.0-1.3
Burnley L 1.0-2.7
Man Utd W 3.2-0.6
Brighton L 0.6-1.1
Aston Villa D 1.5-1.5

14) Crystal Palace – 36 points
Actual points: 30 (-6 points)
Sheffield United W 1.9-0.5
Arsenal L 1.0-2.0
Brentford L 0.8-1.0
Wolves W 2.1-1.2
Aston Villa L 1.2-3.0
Fulham L 0.3-0.6
Manchester United L 0.9-1.3
Nottingham Forest L 0.8-1.0
Newcastle L 1.2-2.4
Tottenham L 0.6-1.1
Burnley W 1.3-1.1
Everton W 2.0-1.6
Luton W 1.68-0.83
West Ham L 0.8-1.3
Bournemouth L 0.8-1.6
Liverpool W 1.7-1.2
Manchester City W 1.8-1.6
Brighton W 1.3-1.2
Chelsea L 1.12-2.57
Brentford L 1.0-1.4
Arsenal L 3.07-0.33
Sheffield United W 1.1-0.8
Brighton L 0.3-1.4
Chelsea L 0.6-1.6
Everton L 0.6-1.6
Burnley W 2.4-0.1
Tottenham L 0.3-1.9
Luton Town W 2.7-0.8
Nottingham Forest W 1.2-0.9
Bournemouth L 1.2-0.1
Manchester City L 1.1-1.9

15) Manchester United – 34 points
Actual points: 49 (+15 points)
Wolves D 2.2-2.2
Tottenham W 2.1-1.7
Nottingham Forest W 2.8-1.2
Arsenal L 0.9-2.3
Brighton L 1.0-1.7
Burnley L 1.0-1.1
Crystal Palace W 1.3-0.9
Brentford W 1.9-0.4
Sheffield United L 1.1-1.4
Manchester City L 0.9-4.0
Fulham L 0.7-1.0
Luton Town W 2.1-0.4
Everton L 2.2-2.4
Newcastle L 0.5-2.4
Chelsea W 4.0-1.4
Bournemouth L 1.1-1.5
Liverpool L 0.6-2.3
West Ham L 0.91-1.36
Aston Villa L 1.04-1.68
Nottingham Forest W 0.8-0.7
Tottenham L 0.8-1.3
Wolves W 3.3-2.1
West Ham L 0.8-1.6
Aston Villa L 1.9.2-4
Luton W 2.8-1.7
Fulham W 1.7-1.2
Man City L 0.3-3.3
Everton W 2.7-1.6
Brentford L 0.6-3.2
Chelsea L 1.5-3.0
Liverpool L 0.7-3.6

16) Wolves – 33 points
Actual points: 42 (+9 points)
Manchester United D 2.2-2.2
Brighton L 2.1-2.2
Everton L 1.1-1.3
Crystal Palace L 1.2-2.1
Liverpool L 0.6-2.5
Luton L 0.6-2.1
Manchester City L 0.4-0.9
Aston Villa L 1.6-1.7
Bournemouth W 2.4-0.6
Newcastle L 0.9-2.2
Sheffield United W 1.2-1.1
Tottenham W 2.1-0.7
Fulham L 1.4-2.8
Arsenal L 0.7-2.8
Burnley D 0.8-0.8
Nottingham Forest L 1.2-1.3
West Ham L 0.7-1.1
Chelsea L 1.27-2.06
Brentford W 2.39-2.23
Everton W 1.9-0.4
Brighton W 1.4-1.2
Man Utd L 2.1-3.3
Chelsea D 1.9-1.9
Brentford L 1.0-1.9
Tottenham W 1.8-1.6
Sheffield United W 1.2-0.6
Newcastle L 0.8-2.1
Fulham L 0.6-2.8
Aston Villa W 1.5-1.0
Burnley L 0.8-1.0
West Ham W 1.5-1.2

17) Fulham – 33 points
Actual points: 39 (+6)
Everton L 1.5-2.7
Brentford L 0.5-3.7
Arsenal L 0.6-3.2
Manchester City L 1.4-2.2
Luton L 1.0-1.1
Crystal Palace W 0.6-0.3
Chelsea L 1.1-1.7
Sheffield United W 2.2-0.6
Tottenham L 1.5-1.0
Brighton L 0.7-1.4
Manchester United W 1.0-0.7
Aston Villa L 0.8-3.0
Wolves W 2.8-1.4
Liverpool L 1.2-2.1
Nottingham Forest W 2.5-1.3
West Ham W 2.3-1.4
Newcastle L 0.3-3.6
Burnley W 1.38-0.41
Bournemouth L .027-1.78
Arsenal L 1.2-1.6
Chelsea L 0.8-2.2
Everton L 1.7-1.9
Burnley L 1.5-1.8
Bournemouth L 1.6-1.8
Aston Villa D 1.5-1.5
Man Utd L 1.2-1.7
Brighton D 1.3-1.3
Wolves W 2.6-0.8
Tottenham W 2.7-2.4
Sheffield United L 1.3-1.9
Nottingham Forest D 1.5-1.5
Newcastle United W 1.2-1.0

18) Luton – 30 points
Actual points: 25 (-5 points)
Brighton L 1.5-4.0
Chelsea L 0.4-2.2
West Ham W 1.4-1.0
Fulham W 1.1-1.0
Wolves W 2.1-0.6
Everton L 0.9-2.9
Burnley W 1.3-1.1
Tottenham L 0.8-1.9
Nottingham Forest L 1.7-2.9
Aston Villa L 0.5-2.3
Liverpool L 0.8-2.6
Man Utd L 0.4-2.1
Crystal Palace L 0.83-1.68
Brentford L 0.2-3.1
Arsenal L 0.5-2.4
Manchester City L 0.3-1.6
Newcastle W 1.88-1.66
Sheffield United L 0.62-2.99
Chelsea W 2.3-1.5
Burnley L 0.9-1.1
Brighton W 2.8-0.9
Newcastle W 2.4-2.3
Sheffield United W 1.8-1.7
Manchester United L 1.7-2.8
Liverpool L 1.0-3.3
Aston Villa L 1.8-1.9
Crystal Palace L 0.8-2.7
Bournemouth L 2.0-2.3
Nottingham Forest L 0.6-1.7
Tottenham L 0.5-2.9
Arsenal L 0.3-0.7
Bournemouth W 1.5-0.4

19) Burnley – 25 points
Actual points: 19 (-6 points)
Manchester City L 0.3-1.9
Aston Villa L 0.7-2.5
Tottenham L 1.3-2.2
Nottingham Forest L 0.5-0.7
Manchester United W 1.1-1.0
Newcastle United L 0.6-3.2
Luton L 1.1-1.3
Chelsea L 0.7-1.9
Brentford L 1.1-3.1
Bournemouth L 0.8-1.1
Crystal Palace L 1.1-1.3
Arsenal L 0.4-1.9
West Ham W 1.27-1.03
Sheffield United W 1.8-0.4
Wolves D 0.8-0.8
Brighton L 0.6-2.6
Everton L 0.7-1.3
Fulham L 0.41-1.38
Liverpool L 0.76-1.69
Aston Villa L 1.2-3.2
Luton W 1.1-0.9
Man City L 1.4-1.7
Fulham W 1.8-1.5
Liverpool L 1.3-2.8
Arsenal L 0.3-2.3
Crystal Palace L 0.1-2.4
Bournemouth W 1.5-1.1
West Ham L 0.6-2.0
Brentford W 2.7-1.0
Chelsea L 1.6-4.2
Wolves W 1.0-0.8
Everton L 0.5-0.9

20) Sheffield United – 16 points
Actual points: 16 (level)
Crystal Palace L 0.5-1.9
Nottingham Forest L 0.5-1.4
Manchester City L 0.7-3.5
Everton L 1.2-2.5
Tottenham L 0.7-2.1
Newcastle United L 0.9-3.9
West Ham L 1.1-2.1
Fulham L 0.6-2.2
Man Utd W 1.4-1.1
Arsenal L 0.0-2.8
Wolves L 1.1-1.2
Brighton L 0.7-1.5
Bournemouth L 0.81-2.71
Burnley L 0.4-1.8
Liverpool L 0.7-1.8
Brentford W 0.8-0.6
Chelsea L 0.4-2.8
Aston Villa L 0.6-0.9
Luton W 2.99-06.2
Manchester City L 0.3-2.2
West Ham United D 2.2-2.2
Crystal Palace L 0.8-1.1
Aston Villa L 1.4-2.2
Luton L 1.7-1.8
Brighton L 0.6-2.9
Wolves L 0.6-1.2
Arsenal L 0.2-2.2
Bournemouth L 1.2-3.3
Fulham W 1.9-1.3
Liverpool L 0.6-1.8
Chelsea W 1.4-0.4